16. Conditional Distributions

Nd787 C4 L1 A12 Conditional Distributions V1

Summary of Notation

Notation Mathematical Meaning
p(x) The probability of x
p(x,y) The probability of x and y
p(x y)
p(y x)

In the example from the video, we took x to be the vehicle position and y to be the sensor measurements. With this in mind, this notation takes on some real world meaning.

Notation "Real world" Meaning
p(x) The probability of the vehicle being in position x.
p(x,y) The probability of the vehicle being in position x and making measurements y.
p(x y)
p(y x)

When we do estimation for a flying vehicle, we generally have access to the measurements y and we want to know the probability of x given those measurements. So we want to calculate p(x|y).

But it turns out that it's often MUCH easier to generate the distribution of measurement likelihoods given the current position. That is, it's easier to come up with p(y|x) than it is to come up with p(x|y). This is where Bayes' Rule is really helpful! According to Bayes' Rule:

p(x|y) = \frac{p(y|x)p(x)}{p(y)}